Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.117511 6.898910 7.754933 8.764430 9.925064 11.220811 12.781306
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.903323 5.911258 7.101834 8.619843 10.515113 12.817916 15.849873
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.183474 5.300667 6.697127 8.587014 11.102525 14.370130 18.992404
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.653695 4.816838 6.338309 8.499667 11.532238 15.697509 21.959293
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.404633 4.649847 6.346249 8.864146 12.571478 17.933358 26.467769
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.092645 4.350702 6.124311 8.856862 13.050370 19.393426 30.009345
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.817058 4.067940 5.885769 8.781383 13.394127 20.661691 33.399868
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.473122 3.648335 5.399224 8.266038 12.976920 20.657309 34.656181
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.310337 3.484727 5.280421 8.306872 13.446161 22.136152 38.656448
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.220211 3.423317 5.311060 8.586147 14.335011 24.422854 44.448037
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.115108 3.327320 5.274796 8.744759 15.025563 26.434979 50.025995
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.011964 3.224709 5.216481 8.855345 15.635857 28.365901 55.739713
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.901721 3.104511 5.123389 8.904570 16.157512 30.233698 61.730689
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.757300 2.914834 4.894885 8.684856 16.142519 31.047649 65.606802
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.654239 2.788344 4.765818 8.635423 16.450939 32.550655 71.282097
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.554828 2.660376 4.622898 8.543854 16.660714 33.868993 76.758247
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.527184 2.658949 4.710322 8.909609 17.858436 37.487915 88.524698
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.452433 2.565153 4.616872 8.902084 18.256860 39.370227 96.260682
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.375448 2.461506 4.496179 8.826125 18.494531 40.910145 103.393963
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.252925 2.263427 4.178148 8.307812 17.679954 39.834616 103.133589
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.203207 2.202020 4.124528 8.348877 18.155418 41.976177 112.446025
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.182397 2.195283 4.179148 8.629752 19.227118 45.771037 127.468965
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.149968 2.163161 4.179372 8.789277 20.025232 48.979595 141.453530